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The forecast of the European Central Bank assumes that the oil price will be $81.8 per barrel in 2024, $71.8 per barrel in 2025, $70.1 per barrel in 2026 and $69.2 per barrel in 2027.Dong Ximiao, Principal Investigator of Zhaolian: Support small and medium-sized banks to better establish a long-term mechanism for capital replenishment. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas and firmly hold the bottom line of systemic risks. The meeting also proposed that the risks of local small and medium-sized financial institutions should be properly handled. Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian, believes that more resolute and effective measures should be taken to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, speed up the reform of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and firmly hold the bottom line of no systemic risks. (SSE)The director of the Federal Aviation Administration will step down early on January 20th. On December 12th, local time, the Federal Aviation Administration said that the director of the Federal Aviation Administration, Mike Whitaker, will step down after President-elect Trump took office on January 20th. It is reported that Whitaker was confirmed for a five-year term in October 2023. In addition, Katie Thomson, deputy director of the Federal Aviation Administration of the United States, will step down on January 10th, and Mark House, assistant director of finance and management of the agency, will be the senior acting official of the agency during the transition period.

The US dollar index DXY rebounded nearly 20 points in the short term and is now reported at 106.65.Pan Yuanyuan, Associate Research Fellow, Institute of World Economics and Politics, China Academy of Social Sciences: China's determination to expand high-level opening-up has not changed. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to expand high-level opening-up and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment. We will expand independent opening and unilateral opening in an orderly manner, steadily expand institutional opening, promote the quality improvement and efficiency improvement of the free trade pilot zone and expand the reform mandate, and accelerate the implementation of the core policy of Hainan Free Trade Port. Actively develop service trade, green trade and digital trade. Deepen the reform of foreign investment promotion system and mechanism. We will steadily open up the service industry, expand pilot projects in the fields of telecommunications, medical care and education, and continue to build the brand of "Invest in China". Promote high-quality joint construction of the "Belt and Road", deepen and improve the overseas comprehensive service system. Pan Yuanyuan, an associate researcher at the Institute of World Economics and Politics of China Academy of Social Sciences, said that the current situation of attracting foreign investment is rather grim, and the Central Economic Work Conference put forward the policy of expanding independent opening and unilateral opening, showing great determination to open up. In the face of difficulties and challenges, China is still actively exploring win-win cooperation with other countries and becoming a "stabilizer" in the turbulent international environment. Pan Yuanyuan believes that the current structure of attracting foreign investment in China has changed, and the service industry has great potential to attract foreign investment. Therefore, the next step is to further open the service industry. "Relying on China's large domestic market and industrial advantages, China has sufficient stamina to attract foreign investment and foreign investment." (SSE)Market News: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban and Turkish President Erdogan discuss US sanctions against Gazprom.

Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC): As there was no one-off income from equity securities trading in the last quarter, bank profits declined, which was partially offset by strong net interest income; The bank reported that its quarterly net interest income increased by $4.5 billion and its net interest margin rose to 3.23%. Bank of America's profits fell by 8.6% to $65.4 billion in the third quarter of 2024.Russian Foreign Minister: It's not the first time that Ukrainian President refused to propose a ceasefire. On December 12, local time, the Russian Foreign Ministry reported that Hungarian Foreign Minister Sergei Jardot had spoken with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and told Ukrainian President Zelensky that he had rejected the Hungarian proposal for a temporary ceasefire and an exchange of prisoners of war in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Lavrov said that this is not the first time that the Ukrainian authorities rejected the relevant suggestions made by other countries after releasing their own signals. Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said on the 11th local time that Ukrainian President Zelensky explicitly rejected the proposal of a ceasefire on December 25th. "Hungary's rotating presidency of the European Union has come to an end. We have made the latest efforts for peace and proposed a ceasefire on December 25th and a large-scale exchange of prisoners of war. Zelensky explicitly rejected and ruled out this possibility ".Israel Defense Forces: Syria's air defense system has been seriously damaged; More than 90% of Syria's surface-to-air missiles have been destroyed.